The End of the Dog Days of Summer for NJ Politics
Tuesday, August 30th, 2005Tomorrow is the last day of August, and all I can say is “Thank God!” About half of my blogging is about political stuff, and August is traditionally a slow month for political news. I’ve been hard pressed to find something interesting to blog about. And at the state level, all the politicians are out of Trenton, so there ain’t much going on.
The summer of 2004 was great for DynamoBuzz. Last August, there was the blogging gift from heaven as far as I’m concerned, Jim McGreevey’s resignation. That was just a month after Charles Kushner and his troubles. McGreevey was a lowdown crook, but he was great for bloggers. Richard Codey is a choir boy in comparison. I have to balance by glee of McGreevey leaving in disgrace with the fact that there isn’t as much to blog about with him gone. <Heavy sigh>.
But after Labor Day begins the official start of the 2005 fall campaign for governor. If it’s anything like what we’ve seen so far this past summer, then this campaign for governor has the potential to be very uninspiring. The #1 issue for NJ voters is property taxes, and so far this summer the news had been about Doug Forrester’s captive insurance company and his donations plus the shenanigans with Jon Corzine’s financial disclosure and his gift/loan to Carla Katz. Barely a word about property taxes.
Not that either candidate has a solution to the property tax crisis here in New Jersey. Corzine’s plan is to expand rebates and make them means tested. As Paul Mulshine notes in today’s Star-Ledger column “The joke’s on the GOP“, Forrester’s plan doesn’t address the current problems with school funding but rather subsidizes the excesses in the existing system. At least Forrester’s plan has a catchy name, “30 in 3″ for a 30% reduction in three years.
The fall campaign has started, with Jon Corzine tapping into his bulging campaign coffers with TV ads. I actually heard one of his radio ads this morning, and he mananged to use every political cliche in the book in just a minute or two. It was a bit of a snoozer. No specifics, just the old “working for the people” and his promise to make NJ more affordable without saying exactly what that means. Forrester’s previous ads weren’t too original, unless you consider “Conga Line of Corruption” right up there with “Tippecanoe and Tyler, Too,” and “Morning in America” as great campaign themes.
I would have to guess that Forrester is a bit depressed that he hasn’t made any dent at all in Corzine’s lead. It was about 10% back in June, and after a few months of mudslinging, it’s still Corzine up by 10 points. Forrester is probably hoping that the debates will make a difference, but neither candidate is a great speaker, and my guess is the impact on the race will be minimal.
My advice to Forrester: Spend half the time just talking about property taxes and the other half of the time reminding the people about Torricelli, Kushner, McGreevey, Norcross, etc. And even then it might not be enough to get Forrester to 50% plus one vote.
